Uncommon Wisdom Daily
  • Home
  • Press
  • RSS
  • Login
  • Weiss Ratings
Text Size: smallmediumlarge
  • Articles
  • Videos
  • Blog
  • Experts
  • Resources
  • Media
  • Services

General

Share Email Print

What in the #@!!*&# am I doing out here?

Tony Sagami | November 4, 2009

Tony Sagami

Before I arrived in Jakarta, my pre-trip research unearthed a little known Indonesian construction supply company. Everything looked good on paper — but then a lot of companies look good on paper … such as Enron … so I made arrangements to do some of my unorthodox-but-enriching, boots-on-the-ground research.

Like the Starship Enterprise, I was headed to a place where no man — at least not any Gucci loafer, Armani suit, Wall Street portfolio managers — has gone before.

Indonesia: Filthy Rich in Natural Resources

Jakarta is the largest city on Java, the largest of Indonesia’s 17,000 islands, and straddles the equator.

Jakarta is a virtual melting pot of different cultures: Bataks from Sumatra, Ambonese from Maluku, Balinese, Madurese and Timorese, as well as people from around the world. This mixture of languages and cultures makes Indonesia one of the most diverse cities of the world.

External Sponsorship

3 Potential Winners in 2010

Time to start making your investment plans for 2010. Why? Because market rotation starts earlier and earlier as investors try to get one step ahead of each other. The good news is we believe 2010 should be easier to trade than 2009.

Check out our free report where we lay out the basics of some trades you can use to ride big trends and reap potentially big profits. And don’t forget to register for our exclusive, FREE online event.

Click here to learn more …

 

The most influential foreign impact came from the Dutch, who arrived in 1596 taking advantage of Indonesia’s strategic location between the Indian and Pacific oceans and turning Jakarta into an important Southeast Asian trading hub.

The Dutch built a new city, Batavia, which remained the center of power for them in South East Asia for the next 350 years. Indonesia became known to the rest of the world as the Dutch East Indies.

Indonesia’s Annual GDP Growth Rate

2007: 5.5%

2008: 6.3%

2009: 6.1%

Indonesia has a market-based economy in which the government plays a significant role. There are 139 state-owned enterprises, and the government administers prices on several basic goods, including fuel, rice, and electricity.

Its GDP grew by 4% in the second quarter and that makes Indonesia the third fastest growing economy in Asia behind China and India. Most of that growth in Indonesia came from its own domestic consumption, which accounted for about 60% of total GDP.

You probably think of Saudi Arabia, Iran, Kuwait and other oil-rich Middle Eastern countries when you think of OPEC, but many people don’t realize that Indonesia was a member of OPEC, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Well … at least it was until 2008 when it voluntarily withdrew from OPEC. The reason was because Indonesia was growing so rapidly that it needed all the oil it produced and actually became a net petroleum importer in 2004. That little factoid should tell you volumes about the opportunity in Indonesia.

Besides oil, Indonesia has a wide range of mineral deposits and production, including bauxite, silver, tin, copper, nickel, gold, coal, and the minerals used to make cement. Speaking of cement …

Concrete: The World’s Most Widely Used Material

Let me tell you about my day last Thursday.

First, I rode in a taxi that needed a new pair of shocks and an air conditioning recharge five years ago. My 90-minute destination was the Batavia Marina, a seldom-visited, secondary shipping port far on the outskirts of Jakarta.

The fleet moored at the Batavia Marina had seen its better days. Some of the ships listed so badly to one side that I thought they were going to tip over and the entire fleet may have been launched during Grover Cleveland’s administration.

After shaking my hand, my eager guide handed me an axe handle. “Just for safety from wild dogs,” he said as he tapped his against his calloused palm.

“Great,” I thought to myself. My University of Washington professors never told me about snarly, wild Indonesian dogs during my finance classes.

It only took 60 seconds to get drenched in perspiration. The island of Java lies on top of the equator so it was a horribly hot 94 degrees in the shade and somewhere close to 100% humidity. I was sweating my butt off.

So here I am, watching out for wild dogs, enduring the suspicious stares from dock workers, weathered and stooped from years of back-breaking manual labor in the hot equatorial sun.

My target was a large group of aging freighters hired to ship bags of cement mix from Jakarta to Borneo and then on to China and India. The company executive I spoke with on the phone told me that China and India were buying every single bag of cement they could get their hands on so they were hiring extra freelance ships to handle the overflow of business.

Aging freighters at Batavia Marina have been hired to ship cement mix to China and India via Borneo.
Aging freighters at Batavia Marina have been hired to ship cement mix to China and India via Borneo.

I’ve learned over the years, however, not to believe everything I’m told so this was something I wanted to see for myself, and that is how I ended up at the Batavia Marina.

There was an ant-like line of men marching from a flatbed truck over a narrow plank to the ship. One slip and it would be a quick dunk in the harbor, which had a few too many floaties that looked like Baby Ruth candy bars (if you know what I mean).

From 7:00 in the morning until 5:00 at night, these men were hefting 50 kilogram (110 lbs) bags of cement mix for 2 million rupiah a month — a paltry $200 a month in U.S. dollars — and doing so in the blazing heat and humidity of equatorial Indonesia.

My father grew potatoes on our western Washington farm and I’ve done my share of heavy, manual labor in my youth, so when one of the dock workers challenged me with sign language to lift a bag … I idiotically accepted the challenge.

Tony Sagami hauls cement in Indonesia.
Tony Sagami hauls cement in Indonesia.

I gave up after four bags and walked away with even more respect for these hard-working men. It was indeed back-breaking manual labor, but these men were grateful for the work and I found yet another example of the work ethic that can be found all over Asia.

I asked my guide how many other Wall Street types had visited this marina. He belly-laughed and made a big O with his two hands and said “zee-row.” Yeah, I’m pretty sure the closest any of my competitors had come to this cement company was a meeting at the plush and air-conditioned concierge lounge at the Jakarta Ritz Carlton hotel.

On the other hand, I hope my competitors NEVER find the guts to go where I do. These undiscovered gems are the little wealth-building secrets that you’ll never hear anywhere else.

And next Friday, I am going to tell my Asia Stock Alert about the absolute, single-best, #1 stock that I found during my trip to Indonesia. Subscriptions to the newsletter are only $199 a year, probably the best investment value you’ll find. Join me!

Regards,

Tony



About Uncommon Wisdom

For more information and archived issues, visit http://www.uncommonwisdomdaily.com

Uncommon Wisdom (UWD) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Sean Brodrick, Larry Edelson, and Tony Sagami. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in UWD, nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in UWD are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Regular contributors and staff include Kristen Adams, Andrea Baumwald, John Burke, Amy Carlino, Selene Ceballo, Amber Dakar, Dinesh Kalera, Red Morgan, Maryellen Murphy, Jennifer Newman-Amos, Adam Shafer, Julie Trudeau, Jill Umiker, Leslie Underwood and Michelle Zausnig.

Attention editors and publishers! Uncommon Wisdom issues can be republished. Republished issues MUST include attribution of the author(s) and the following short paragraph:

This investment news is brought to you by Uncommon Wisdom. Uncommon Wisdom is a free daily investment newsletter from Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, precious metals, natural resources, Asian and South American markets. From time to time, the authors of Uncommon Wisdom also cover other topics they feel can contribute to making you healthy, wealthy and wise. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.uncommonwisdomdaily.com.

From time to time, Uncommon Wisdom may have information from select third-party advertisers known as “external sponsorships.” We cannot guarantee the accuracy of these ads. In addition, these ads do not necessarily express the viewpoints of Uncommon Wisdom or its editors. For more information, see our terms and conditions.

© 2009 by Weiss Research, Inc. All rights reserved.

15430 Endeavour Drive, Jupiter, FL 33478

Tony Sagami is the editor of Asia Stock Alert, a monthly newsletter with a mission to help you profit from booming Asian economies with companies the Wall Street crowd ignores. One of the most experienced research analysts in the industry, Tony follows a “boots-on-the-ground” approach for getting his market insights by traveling throughout Asia. Each month, he brings members profit-packed opportunities. Plus, Tony lets you know when to buy, how much to pay, and when to lock in those profits. For more information on Asia Stock Alert, click here.

Share Email
Tweet

{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }

James M. "Jimmy" Stewart November 4, 2009 pm30 12:33 pm at 12:33 pm

Lived in Jakarta May, 1982 – April, 1983. Broke into real estate there. Hot, yep, humid, ditto! Was in some of the places the gentleman mentioned but not the Marina. Traveled back and forth to Bandung in central Java and the roads were surrounded by tea farms, Width was enough for a vehicle and anything passing either way was a contract for suicide. Only saving grace was my grasp of ‘Bahasia Indonesia’! The language. Very interesting to read of your adventures there.
JMS

Reply

Nancy November 4, 2009 pm30 6:34 pm at 6:34 pm

Great article/story Tony! I’m considering your Asia Stock Alert subscription, so please tell me – do you give sell signal signal alerts via email in addition to picks? I’ve lost more money by making great gains on a stock and then not selling in a timely fashion when the market corrects. I work, and it’s difficult to watch dozens of stocks on a daily basis. I’ve basically stopped believing in buy-and-hold since “the big burn”. Sadly I missed the recovery, as I was a Safe Money subscriber with MW and held shorts through much of the bull run – I closed the shorts when I started reading newsletters from Larry, Sean and you. Thanks…[ I think Martin still has his subscribers short.] Nancy

Reply

David November 5, 2009 am30 10:05 am at 10:05 am

Tony,

I live in the UK .

I have subscribed to your ASA assuming that you send everything by e-mail

Pls let me know if this is the case , if not I need to cancel

I sent a mail to te Weiiss address and got no reply…..

Tks,

David baillie

Reply

Cancel reply

Leave a Comment

I agree to the Terms and Conditions of this Website.

Previous post: Opportunity Is In the Zone for Gold Miners

Next post: Inflate or Die!

  • Sign Up for FREE Updates

    Enter your name and email to receive free Uncommon Wisdom updates delivered directly to your inbox.We respect your privacy

  • Advertising

  • Advertising

  • Market Update

    Click an index for a graph of its recent activity:

    U.S.

    Mon 2/06/12, 5:30pm
    Index Last Change
    DOW
    NASDAQ 2,902 +0.0
    NASDAQ
    S&P 500 1,344 -0.6
    S&P 500

    Europe

    Tue 2/07/12, 6:07am
    Index Last Change
    FTSE 100 5,879 -13.5
    FTSE 100
    CAC 40 3,392 -13.0
    CAC 40
    DAX 6,731 -33.7
    DAX

    Asia

    Tue 2/07/12, 1:28am
    Index Last Change
    HANG SENG 20,699 -10.8
    HANG SENG
    NIKKEI 225 8,918 -11.7
    NIKKEI 225
    CSI 300 2,458 -46.4
    CSI 300
  • Media & Events

    Recent Media

    Talk Digital Network - February 2, 2012
    Mining The Miners

  • Advertising

  • News

    Glencore, Xstrata agree to $90 billion merger February 07, 2012
    Greek party leaders seek deal as bankruptcy looms February 07, 2012
    Toyota lifts profit forecast as disaster woes fade February 07, 2012
    World stocks lower as Greek debt talks drag on February 07, 2012
    South Africa minister: Mines won't be nationalized February 07, 2012
    Papademos Seeks Greek Consensus on Cuts - Bloomberg February 07, 2012
  • Find us on Facebook

  • Weiss Ratings - Top-Rated Banks, Credit-Unions, Insurers

  • Advertising

  • About Us
  • Contact
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • Whitelist Information
  • Advertising
©2012 Uncommon Wisdom Daily. All Rights Reserved.
Weiss Research, Inc., founded in 1971, has a long history of providing research and analysis designed to empower investors with information and tools to make more informed, independent decisions along with an equally long history of public service. [More »]