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What I’ve been warning you about is here …

Larry Edelson | June 4, 2012

You’re seeing massive declines unfold in almost all markets. The reason for it is rather simple, and it’s something I’ve been warning you about.

Even in the midst of what should prove to be the biggest commodity bull market ever, you can get sharp dis-inflationary moves, especially when …

• Investors are frightened that governments may be going broke, like they are concerned now with Europe. When that happens, and they see no light on the horizon, they take their money and head for the hills — panicking and selling almost everything in sight.

• The world’s leaders are equally at a loss about what to do, investors again head for the hills, and choose to park their money largely in cash — another motive for selling almost all assets.

• They believe that it’s far-more-important to be concerned with the return of their money than the return on their money, they run for the hills even more — causing even more selling.

And yes, even that religiously passionate asset these days — GOLD — can get caught up in the selling.

I’ve been warning about all of this, and it’s here now. Investors, seeing Europe start to completely unravel, are dumping just about everything. Asset prices are plunging, from stocks to commodities, even to real estate (again).

And although this is a short-term move, and NOT the major trend (which remains up for commodities), it’s not about to stop anytime soon.

Fortunately, those following my Real Wealth Report were prepared for this. I had them hedge their core gold holdings a while ago. I had them effectively sell short silver with an inverse ETF. I had them sell short the euro with an inverse ETF on the currency. And more.

I’ve been telling them to hold those fruitful positions. While there may be some bounces in the markets ahead, it’s important that you know where I believe these markets are headed, and when I believe they will bottom.

So without further delay, here are the target support levels for each of the major markets I follow. They are support levels I expect to be tested before the rout is over …

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Gold: Once gold closes below the $1,527 level, look for support at …

$1,446.80
$1,400.80
$1,373.10

I fully expect that by the end of July we will see gold test the $1,373.10 level.

Silver: Once silver closes below $26.07, look for support at …

$24.16
$20.22

I fully expect that by the end of July we will see silver test the $20.22 level.

Crude oil: To most analysts’ and investors’ surprise, oil is one of the weakest markets on the board right now, having given me no fewer than three sell signals. Look for support for oil’s upcoming bottom at either …

$77.10 or $67.05 (by the end of July)

Dow Industrials and S&P 500: A close below 12,200 in the Dow and 1,275.50 in the S&P 500 should lead to tests of the following support levels, with the extreme lower levels in the cards by the end of July …

Dow:
11,800.00
11,250.00
10,567.36
10,386.63

S&P 500:
1245.00
1052.25*

*NOTE the large gap in support between 1,245 and 1,052. This is typically a telltale sign that if the S&P 500 cannot hold the 1,245 support level, a devastating mini-crash may be in the cards.

You should see lower prices ahead, over the next six to eight weeks, in virtually all markets but U.S. bond markets, which are temporarily benefitting from flight capital. The dollar should also continue to rise, on the back of flight capital.

When will it all stop? First, when the above support levels are tested. Second, and most importantly …

When the world’s leaders and central bankers get together and exercise coordinated money-printing.

That’s what they’re going to do. Come hell or high water. But it won’t happen until their backs are against a wall, and that’s going to be after further asset declines.

The next round of money printing, when it comes, will also be ferocious. The biggest yet. And with very few exceptions, like the Chinese yuan and other Asian currencies, it’s going to dilute the purchasing power of nearly all paper money.

Keep in mind that governments in the West are now fighting for their lives. They are drowning in debt. Unfortunately, the only thing they know how to do is issue more debt, and print money to pay old debts and support new borrowings.

It’s a very sad situation. But it has not come to a head yet. It will, when everyone realizes that Washington is not in any better shape than Europe.

That’s when the real %$#! will hit the fan. And out of it all will come a new monetary system, new government and even a new financial system.

There will be hell to pay, but a new day will dawn on the other side. But getting there will not be easy.

I’m doing everything in my power to protect and grow my wealth. Anyone who isn’t is asking for trouble. Big trouble.

Stay safe,

Larry

P.S. If not already a member, you may want to consider joining my Real Wealth Report. It’s the best way I know how to get my messages and investment recommendations into your hands, so you can make your own choices on how to protect and grow your money during these unprecedented times. Click here to join now.

Larry Edelson has over 34 years of investing experience with a focus in the precious metals and natural resources markets. His Real Wealth Report (a monthly publication) and Power Portfolio provide a continuing education on natural resource investments, with recommendations aiming for both profit and risk management.

For more information on Real Wealth Report, click here.
For more information on Power Portfolio, click here.

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{ 25 comments… read them below or add one }

Kerry Monday, June 4, 2012 at 9:00 am

Larry,Larry ,Larry I’ve been trying to tell you for ages,don’t try and time the market “I fully expect that by the end of July…” is just too specific.At least say “There is an 80% chance or 70% then your predictions,which have been proven correct so far,will seem even better because frankly ,as we all know,your timing has left a lot to be desired so since you believe in hedging your positions why don’t you hedge your predictions and not let the market prove you wrong in the short term and suffer the slings and arrows of the many who take your timing to heart.
Just a bit of advice from a follower…

Reply

Heidi Tuesday, June 5, 2012 at 6:47 pm

WOW !!!!! I agree 100 % .

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jrj90620 Monday, June 4, 2012 at 10:48 am

Hope you’re right about the new dawn on the other side.Seems to me,when that dawn happens,we will still have a oversized govt,with too much power,in the hands of idiot voters,who are totally ignorant,not qualified to be voting and running the country.More of the same.

Reply

j r sendik Monday, June 4, 2012 at 11:00 am

Scary report you finish with “STAY SAFE”. I ask HOW!!! OIL ,GOLD,.PAPER MONEY, BONDS are unsatisfactory. Does that just leave equties o rdo we just go short ?

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Heidi Tuesday, June 5, 2012 at 6:51 pm

EVER HEARD OF CASH OR DOES ONE NEED TO BE CONSTANT IN THE CASINO ?

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Heidi Wednesday, June 6, 2012 at 4:06 am

Want to go short in gold ? …lol

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Stew Monday, June 4, 2012 at 5:22 pm

Total utter nonsense on GOLD and SILVER prices. The flight out of the Dollar and Euro will be into GOLD and SILVER. We hit the bottom days ago. I’ll go with JIM Sinclair who has had MUCH more experience then you. Its going UP.

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Stew Monday, June 4, 2012 at 5:24 pm

Renowned gold expert Jim Sinclair of JSMineset.com said Friday, “Those popular gold writers calling for much lower gold prices are simply out of their mind and disconnected from reality.” Sinclair has been calling for “QE to infinity” (money printing) for years now, and he’s been right. Of course, money printing masked the recession/depression since 2008; and now, it looks like more of the same bad medicine is on the way—only a much higher dose. My only question is when does the money printing stop working and turn the currency into confetti? It appears we will find out sooner than later.

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Kerry Monday, June 11, 2012 at 8:53 am

Trouble is Sinclair is beginning to believe he is ‘Mr Gold’ he’s not,he’s been wrong many times,including now,he’s off with the fairies sometimes I think.Having said that his call for $1670,or what ever it was ,10 years ago was impressive.Larry and Armstrong are far better IMO.

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TOM Monday, June 4, 2012 at 8:32 pm

LARRY THE PM’S HAD A GREAT MOVE THE LAST DAYS TOOK 1/2 OFF THE TABLE AND WENT SHORT YOU HAVE BEEN SPOT ON THIS GOLD MARKET BULL RUN . WILL RELOAD AS THE XAU PULLS BACK SLOWLY GOING LONG . THANK YOU I THINK YOUR AT THE TOP IN YOUR FEILD.

Reply

FS Tuesday, June 5, 2012 at 5:35 am

RUSSIA TURNS TO CHINA………………A GROWING INFLUENCE IN RUSSIA’S FAR EAST

http://news.yahoo.com/russia-turns-east-embrace-looming-china-011518310.html

Reply

FS Tuesday, June 5, 2012 at 5:41 am

Ole Lindsey Williams, the man so many cannot help but love due to his homespun delivery and claims to be a man of God, has said, concerning any paper investment:

“Paper instruments will be worth the paper they are written on.”

There is a distinct possibility, that if a true crisis bursts forth, ANY paper investment may become worthless. Greeks with money have already gone to hard assets, property, and gold.

Now may be a good time to buy a house.

Reply

iio Tuesday, June 5, 2012 at 11:23 am

I’ve been putting in the comments for months now – well before Larry – to expect these moves. It’s all about the study of cycles.

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kent Wednesday, June 6, 2012 at 8:09 am

If gold goes to 1373 and silver to 20, that indicates global deflation. The Dow will then target much lower than 10000. My estimate in that circumstance is Dow 6000. Shorts rejoice.

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Heidi Wednesday, June 6, 2012 at 12:08 pm

You really should read Martin Armstrong ….Dow to 6000 ? I wish you luck !! Don’t lose all your $$$

Reply

Gary Paul Thursday, June 7, 2012 at 4:05 pm

Sorry Heidi, but I’ve read Martin Armstrong. His predictions are all over the place so I couldn’t make heads or tails. It’s easy to be right when you predict:

“Up, down or maybe sideways (we will see once we get the data)” LOL

Glad to see you are a “true-believer” of whatever it is that Armstrong said.

Reply

iooop Wednesday, June 6, 2012 at 8:57 am

The thing is, July isn’t the end. Things will move up from July until Sep-Oct time frame then there is a sharp down turn again. It won’t be “safe” until almost the end of the year.

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Brian Saturday, June 9, 2012 at 9:42 am

The FOMC meeting is coming up this month in advance of the 4th of July holiday. Then we find out which way they decide to tip the playing field.

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Francois Sunday, June 10, 2012 at 7:48 am

You all predict doom and gloom since already 2008. Did you see that if you held for instance Mc Donald (MCD) since then, you would have some nice gains. Why do you all try to time the market. It is not a Stock Market it is a Market of Stocks. Why don’t you try the Benjamin Graham method, buying companies for less then their Net Assets ? If you always buy and sell, you are the best commission customer for your broker. Please stop predicting the end of the world. As to Gold, in the previous months China has been a net importer of hundreds of tons. Turn the news, twist the news as you like. As to me If I look at simple valuations, the US market is fairly valued, But if I look at the Schiller pe ratio it is overvalued by around 20 %. But again looking at the market means nothing, look at individual companies and probably you will do much better. Good luck !

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FS Tuesday, June 12, 2012 at 6:27 pm

It is abundantly clear, beyond the shadow of a doubt, incontrovertibly factual, exceedingly verifiable and totally provable that the markets could go up, down, sideways, or remain stagnant.

Reply

Dawn Friday, June 15, 2012 at 5:13 pm

I LOL’d at that one. Thanks FS!

Reply

Carlos Friday, June 15, 2012 at 8:19 pm

Its is difficult to predict when you have Central Banks meddling around. Printing then stop printing then printing again then stop printing….

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Charle Thursday, June 21, 2012 at 10:50 am

Gold will go up and gold will go down
The important thing is, will “you” be above ground.

I think this is sound

Reply

Aten Friday, July 20, 2012 at 4:08 am

It is now July 20th so we are approaching the end of the month and right now Gold is still at $1587 level…and the market has been very steady at that level…

i guess your $1,373 was wrong…something tells me i should have bought more gold at $1550…

Reply

bujjai Sunday, July 29, 2012 at 3:46 pm

well well well…I too printed out this piece as it was just too good to pass up!! We are 2 days away from the end of July….we are NOWHERE near larry’s predictions. i thought larry was one of the Rockefeller children or a Rotschild, to have such definiteness about the future….how wrong you are!!! stay away from predictions. At your age you should have learned a thing or two by now but you didn’t. Not smart.

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